And on the day of the town hall debate, too...

Job numbers were not what was expected or needed. Should be an interesting evening.

But anyway, my prediction of the annual revision was (barely) closer than Mankiw's! I said 200,000, he said 288,000. It was 236,000.

Did you ever hear the one about the three econometricians who went hunting? The first one shot, and the bullet went 10 yards in front of the deer. The second one shot, and the bullet went 10 yards right behind the deer. The third one jumped up and shouted, "We got it!"