« 10 year yield drops again | Main | Give me data, lots of data »
September 01, 2005
Robert Frank tells us what's wrong with principles courses...and he's right
Needless to say, a course can be valuable even if unpleasant. Unfortunately, however, most students seem to emerge from introductory economics courses without having learned even the most important basic principles. According to one recent study, their ability to answer simple economic questions several months after leaving the course is not measurably different from that of people who never took a principles course.
What explains such abysmal performance? One problem is the encyclopedic range typical of introductory courses. As the Nobel laureate George J. Stigler wrote more than 40 years ago, "The brief exposure to each of a vast array of techniques and problems leaves the student no basic economic logic with which to analyze the economic questions he will face as a citizen."
Another problem is that the introductory course is increasingly tailored not for the majority of students for whom it will be their only economics course, but for the negligible fraction who will go on to become professional economists. Such courses focus on the mathematical models that have become the cornerstone of modern economic theory. These models prove daunting for many students and leave them little time and energy to focus on how basic economic principles help explain everyday behavior.
But there is an even more troubling explanation for students' failure to learn fundamental economic concepts. It is that many of their professors may have only a tenuous grasp of these concepts, since they, too, took encyclopedic introductory courses, followed by advanced courses that were even more technical.
Maybe more on this topic later, but now I must teach.
UPDATE: Ok, silly me, I forgot to include the link. I was literally standing up and ready to dash out the door as I wrote that. So, let's talk a little more about this, shall we? Frank also says,
Virtually all economists consider opportunity cost a central concept. Yet a recent study by Paul J. Ferraro and Laura O. Taylor of Georgia State University suggests that most professional economists may not really understand it. At the 2005 annual meetings of the American Economic Association, the researchers asked almost 200 professional economists to answer this question:
"You won a free ticket to see an Eric Clapton concert (which has no resale value). Bob Dylan is performing on the same night and is your next-best alternative activity. Tickets to see Dylan cost $40. On any given day, you would be willing to pay up to $50 to see Dylan. Assume there are no other costs of seeing either performer. Based on this information, what is the opportunity cost of seeing Eric Clapton? (a) $0, (b) $10, (c) $40, or (d) $50."
Got an answer yet? Ok, read on.
The opportunity cost of seeing Clapton is the total value of everything you must sacrifice to attend his concert - namely, the value to you of attending the Dylan concert. That value is $10 - the difference between the $50 that seeing his concert would be worth to you and the $40 you would have to pay for a ticket. So the unambiguously correct answer to the question is $10. Yet only 21.6 percent of the professional economists surveyed chose that answer, a smaller percentage than if they had chosen randomly.
Ouch. Badly worded question, you say? Well, it is true that multiple choice economics questions can be written in fairly obtuse language. It's pretty easy to clean up that question though.
Some economists who answered incorrectly complained that if people could apply the cost-benefit principle, it did not really matter if they knew the precise definition of opportunity cost. So the researchers asked another group of economists to answer an alternative version of the question in which the last sentence was revised to read this way: "What is the smallest amount that seeing Clapton would have to be worth to you to make his concert the better choice?" Again, the correct answer is $10, and although this time a larger percentage got it right, a solid majority still chose incorrectly. (emphasis mine)
Double ouch. The wording is much better (easier) there, and still there was trouble.
Yeah, this is a problem. Opportunity cost is arguably the most important concept in the principles curriculum. Without opportunity cost and an idea of marginal cost and benefit, you don't have supply and demand. If you don't have supply and demand...
We have got to do better. A while back I heard the mathematicians talking about the need for a "lean and lively calculus". This was back when calculus texts were starting to crack the 1000 page mark. Principles texts are a similar story. Although, to be fair, there is some variation. The late Paul Heyne's (et al.) The Economic Way of Thinking still is an example of the "less is more" approach. Greg Mankiw's first edition was quite concise, but it has grown to be less distinguishable from the pack on the dimension of brevity. But as a whole, the texts are pretty encyclopedic.
Lest you think I'm going totally reductionist on you and risk throwing the baby out with the bath, I assure you that's not my intent. But I do think we need to do a bit more to inspire an appreciation for the logical reasoning of economics at the principles level. That may not even mean cutting a lot of things out. It might just mean doing more to relate more advanced concepts to opportunity cost at every chance we get.
I've even gone so far as to explain the Euler equation in a dynamic macro model in terms of opportunity cost. I wouldn't do that in a 20 minute conference talk, but I would in my office to a graduate student.
Posted by William Polley at September 1, 2005 07:55 AM
Trackback Pings
TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://www.williampolley.com/cgi-bin/mt-tb.cgi/331
Comments
Very nice. For my program in agricultural economics at Cornell, we were required to take the graduate micro- and macro-economic theory sequence in the regular economics department (perhaps an inferiority complex among agricultural economists), plus we all took Robert Frank's course. The main course sequence was poorly taught -- and I say this even as somebody who enjoys math puzzles and economic theory -- while Frank's course was charming. He took great delight in catching the idiot savants in his care on their basic misunderstanding of the whole point of economics as a body of thought about the real world.
Posted by: Parke at September 1, 2005 08:50 AM
I teach Principles of Micro (I use Robert Frank's text with Ben Bernanke!) and I have tried, in recent years, to develop an underlying theme early on in the course that boils down to a few principles: people respond to incentives; markets work well; the concept of using marginal analysis; how competitive pressures coupled with self-interest work. And, like Parke notes, I try to show them on the very first day that economics isn't just for business anymore.
Posted by: Phil Miller at September 1, 2005 12:24 PM
I majored in econ. I'm glad I answered the question correctly! I'm not sure how people got that wrong. It seemed like the most intuitive answer to me. Where did people go wrong on that one?
Posted by: c. at September 1, 2005 04:48 PM
D__n, I got it wrong too. I forgot to subtract the cost of the ticket. But I answered in 0.5 seconds, because I thought the answer was "obvious". When the opportunity cost of giving a wrong answer is nearly zero (the economists who got it wrong are anonymous after all), at least lower than the cost of carefully spotting the tricky part of the question, then guess what Mr. Rational Economist will do? (By posting this non-anonymously I am credibly kicking myself. I guess there's a rational reason for that too.)
In short, I don't think the survey result provides good evidence of faulty understanding among professional economists. On the other hand there is abundant evidence of faulty understanding among laypersons. However, I don't believe any revision of a mere one-semester course is sufficient to impart basic economic logic. Learning economic logic requires time, and some personal stake in acquiring understanding, more perhaps than sheer pedagogical excellence.
Posted by: Roehl Briones at September 1, 2005 05:29 PM
Good comment, Roehl. Whether this simple survey is good evidence of faulty understanding among economists is a legitimate question. But the results were worse than random guessing! And the second version of the question should have been really easy.
In my opinion, I don't think learning economic logic requires any large amount of time, per se. You can do a lot in a semester. I think the most important thing is a willingness to see the world through the lens of opportunity cost. If you're willing to look at the world that way, you can learn economics.
Posted by: William Polley at September 1, 2005 05:54 PM
I've given up on much of the material that I'm supposed to be covering in micro. I teach about 100 principles students a year and no more than 5 will major in economics. Why should I do a dis-service to society by trying to train 5% of my class to do well in intermediate micro? I've begun focusing on economic literacy for the 95% who will only take one additional econ course.
I don't cover cost curves anymore (gasp). I discuss all of the relevant topics (MC, AFC, economies of scale) but don't bother with the graphs. My students are happier and I am happier. I hope they are learning and retaining more of the basics.
Posted by: John Whitehead at September 1, 2005 09:15 PM
John,
One of our former professors used to apologize to his students before he taught cost curves.
Posted by: Phil Miller at September 2, 2005 06:03 AM
NO,NO, NO
The $10 is the consumer surplus you get from going to the Dylan concert -- the $50 in value to you less the $40 you pay.
It is not the opportunity costs.
Opportunity cost is an approach to evaluating alternative uses of resources.
The opportunity costs here is the alternative uses for the $40. The $10 consumer surplus
is a reason to go to the Dylan concert because
it implies that the returns would be higher
to you from this use then from another use.
Since the Clapton concert is free it is not an alternative use of the $40 and should not be considered in the question. Now, if the question had been about the alternative uses of your time, it would be a consideration. But as the example now stands it is just a red herring to confuse the people answering the question.
The opportunity cost are the alternative uses of the $40 spend on the ticket. But the good professor does not provide any of those alternatives.
Consequently, all of the proposed answers are wrong. The odds are that if you give people the opportunity of picking between 4 incorrect answers the answers they pick will be random or equally distriuted.
To me this looks like a very poorly written demonstration of the concept of opportunity cost.
Posted by: spencer at September 3, 2005 08:58 AM
No, no, no.
The $10 is not the opportunity cost.
The $10 is the consumer surplus you get from attending the Dylan concert --$50 in value less the $40 in cost.
Opportunity cost is an approach to evaluating
alternative uses of resources. In this example the opportunity cost would be the alternative uses of the $40. Since the Clapton concert is free it is not one of the alternative uses of the $40..
If you had asked the question in terms of the alternative use of your time, the Clapton concert would have been one of the alternatives.
But as the question is asked the information on the Clapton concert appears to just be a red herring to confuse us.
No alternative uses of the $40 are provided so the material does not provide an example of the opportunity cost.
thus, all four answers are wrong.
The odds are that if you ask people to choose between four wrong answers you will get a random or equall distribution. that appears to be what happened.
But this is just a badly written example of opportunity costs
Posted by: spencer at September 3, 2005 09:14 AM
Spencer,
The question was asked (somewhat obliquely--I would have worded it more clearly, more like the 2nd version) in terms of alternative uses of time. It is most assuredly not about the alternative uses of the $40. The question does say that the Dylan concert is the next best alternate activity. So the question is one of what to do on a given night: Clapton or Dylan. That's all, nothing else.
A second point is that consumer surplus is clearly being used here to put a dollar value on different activities. That's something we do all the time in everyday decisionmaking. Economists probably do it more consciously than others!
And the fact that the Clapton concert is "free" is part of the point. Even "free" things have an opportunity cost. TANSTAAFL!
What do you give up in order to see the Clapton concert? Nothing explicitly because the ticket was "free." But you give up what you would have received from the Dylan concert, namely the consumer surplus.
Sometimes the textbook examples make it easy by just posing the question as a choice between two things without explicit costs. My favorite is that the opportunity cost of coming to my 8:00 class is the extra sleep you would have had. No explicit cost either way. You've already paid for the class, and there's no money out of your pocket if you sleep. It's just where you want to spend your time. Easy.
Or, another oldie but a goodie is you're choosing between two concerts each with the same ticket price. The price of the tickets net out in the opportunity cost calculation. The opportunity cost of seeing one is that you don't get to see the other. Easy.
But if there are explicit costs, they must also be considered. Here, the cost of the Dylan ticket must be figured in, particularly because there is no explicit cost of the Clapton ticket. Far from being a red herring, the fact that there is no explicit cost of the Clapton ticket is the point.
I do prefer the second wording as it makes that point abundantly clear. But a majority still got it wrong. With that wording, there is no excuse for misunderstanding. Alex Tabarrok calls it a "professional embarassment." http://www.marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2005/09/opportunity_cos.html
So when you say, "The $10 consumer surplus is a reason to go to the Dylan concert because it implies that the returns would be higher to you from this use then from another use." That's correct only if the value you put on the Clapton concert is less than $10. If you value the Clapton concert at more than $10, you should go there. That is opportunity cost in action.
Posted by: William Polley at September 3, 2005 09:40 PM
I agree with the answer you give me.
But you can not reach that conclusion from the information provided.
I still think this is a classic example of a teacher giving a poor explanation and then blaming the students for not getting it.
Posted by: spencer at September 4, 2005 04:38 PM
If the question involved the alnertative use of time the potential answers should have used time,
not money. this is part of the problem with the example, if the answer is what is the opportunity costs of the money you get one answer. If the answer is in term of the alternative use of your time you get a different answer.
Posted by: spencer at September 4, 2005 04:41 PM
No. There is no problem with posing a question in terms of the alternative uses of time and quantifying the outcome of those alternative uses in some other unit, like money.
That's what we're all about! And here's a quick example that makes it clear that putting the outcome in some other unit adds to the understanding of what is going on. Suppose you have one hour to spend either putting together a model airplane which you could sell for $5 or building a birdhouse which you could sell for $7. You choose to build the birdhouse. What would be the opportunity cost of building the model airplane? By your restriction that the answer should involve time, you could say it is the hour that you could have spent building the birdhouse. True, but uninformative. What is illuminated by posing the problem and the answer this way? You could say it is the birdhouse itself that could have been built. This is only slightly more informative, but does not take into account the value of the airplane that does get built when you choose not to build the birdhouse. Or, you could say it is the additional $2 that you would have received if you had built the birdhouse instead of the airplane. This is really the most informative answer because it translates the alternative uses of the hour into the difference in the value of what could be produced by those alternative uses of time.
And that last sentence is the heart of much of what economics is about.
Anyway, I'll give you this much: most textbooks do not get into this detailed of an explanation. Unless a professor has had students ask questions along these lines, they themselves probably haven't given these deeper explanations much thought.
If you are interested in an example of the sort of question I try to lead my students to think about, check out #4 on this assignment.
http://www.williampolley.com/econ231/files/hw231_1.pdf
I took great pains to word it as unambiguously as possible, and I wrote it before having this discussion. It's similar to problems I've used for a long time. Let me know if you like it (or if you don't)!
Posted by: William Polley at September 5, 2005 01:26 AM