Look at these two graphs, then look at my comment on the previous post (the 14th comment).
I don't think this is a full explanation. Some of the comments to the previous post make good points that could also explain part of what we're seeing. However, if manufacturing declines, the inflow into those occupations must slow over time. If 16-19 year olds are the inflow, then this is what you might see.
Thoughts?
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