« Summertime reading is about to commence | Main | FOMC Minutes »

May 14, 2008

No more rate cuts for a while?

Janet Yellen is on the lecture circuit. (Reuters)

"The 1970s were a horrible period. If there's one thing that has to be very high priority, we don't want to go back to a period that is anything like that," she said, critiquing presentations on the economy at a symposium for college students in Tacoma, Washington.

She is, of course, talking about inflation (not bell-bottoms or disco).

"During the 1970s the Fed failed to keep inflation low in the face of supply shocks (which) became incorporated into inflation expectations," Yellen said.

She acknowledges, as I think most of us do, that this is not a simple problem with a simple answer. She's worried about the prospects of lower growth as well. But the fact that she, as one of the more dove-ish members of the committee, is talking about inflation risks is a sign that the tide may have turned.

Posted by William Polley at May 14, 2008 09:02 PM

Trackback Pings

TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://www.williampolley.com/cgi-bin/mt-tb.cgi/1022

Comments

Nice to see you commenting again.

I have long held that the inflation of the 1970s begin when we did not have a recession in 1967.

If we avoid a recession this time around are we setting up an inflation problem, not immediately, but a few years down the road?

Posted by: spencer at May 15, 2008 10:19 AM

Post a comment




Remember Me?