<?xml version="1.0" encoding="utf-8"?>
<rss version="2.0">
<channel>
<title>William J. Polley</title>
<link>http://www.williampolley.com/blog/</link>
<description>Comments and observations on economics and whatever else catches my eye</description>
<language>en</language>
<copyright>Copyright 2010</copyright>
<lastBuildDate>Mon, 25 Jan 2010 22:42:50 -0600</lastBuildDate>
<generator>http://www.movabletype.org/?v=4.21-en</generator>
<docs>http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/tech/rss</docs> 


<item>
<title>Paul Volker:  &quot;Wake up, gentlemen&quot;</title>
<description><![CDATA[A student sends this link:&nbsp; <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704825504574586330960597134.html">Paul Volker interviewed by the Wall St. Journal</a>.<br /><br />I predict that we're going to hear more from Volker about the way forward, and his words are welcome.<br /> ]]></description>
<link>http://www.williampolley.com/blog/archives/2010/01/paul-volker-wak.html</link>
<guid>http://www.williampolley.com/blog/archives/2010/01/paul-volker-wak.html</guid>
<category>Federal Reserve</category>
<pubDate>Mon, 25 Jan 2010 22:42:50 -0600</pubDate>
</item>

<item>
<title>Alan C. Stockman, U of Rochester Economist, dies at age 58</title>
<description><![CDATA[From the <a href="http://www.rochester.edu/news/show.php?id=3527">University of Rochester</a>:<br /><br /><blockquote><p>Alan Stockman, the Marie C. and Joseph C. Wilson Professor of
Economics at the University of Rochester, died January 14 after a long
battle with cancer. He was 58. </p><p> A talented teacher, inspiring mentor, and respected scholar,
Professor Stockman made major contributions to the fields of
international finance and macroeconomics, publishing seminal papers on
exchange rates and international business cycles. He is remembered by
colleagues as a man whose infectious enthusiasm for economics was
characteristic of his general approach to life. </p><p>"He had a passion for ideas and a childlike pleasure in
all things," said Steven Landsburg, professor of economics at the
University, who was a close friend of Professor Stockman since their
days as doctoral candidates at the University of Chicago. "He had a
sparkling, bubbling enthusiasm" that came through whether he was
discussing economic theory, playing a guitar, or participating in one
of the department's musical skits, Landsburg recalled. </p><p> "He was
willing to talk to colleagues anytime and anyplace, whether it be about
economics or anything else. He had a wonderful clarity of thought and
an ability to analyze problems," adds Michael Wolkoff, deputy chair of
the Department of Economics. "He was a very warm, generous person. He
truly had many friends in the department and the profession."</p></blockquote><p><br /></p><p>I used Stockman's intro textbook most of the way through my grad school years as both TA and instructor and for a year or two when I first started teaching full time.&nbsp; I still have a copy and refer to it occasionally for an example or exercise.&nbsp; I corresponded with him on one occasion about the book and received a gracious reply.&nbsp; Over the years, I heard only wonderful things about him.&nbsp; He will be missed.<br /></p>(Via Phil Miller on Facebook)<br /> ]]></description>
<link>http://www.williampolley.com/blog/archives/2010/01/alan-c-stockman.html</link>
<guid>http://www.williampolley.com/blog/archives/2010/01/alan-c-stockman.html</guid>
<category>Obituaries</category>
<pubDate>Fri, 15 Jan 2010 14:50:39 -0600</pubDate>
</item>

<item>
<title>Sign of things to come?</title>
<description><![CDATA[<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/12/16/education/16college.html?partner=rss&amp;emc=rss">Pittsburgh wants to tax tuition paid to universities located in the city.</a><br /><br />If I were teaching a public policy class, this would surely be on the final exam.&nbsp; Discuss the distribution of the burden of this tax and discuss any additional implications.<br /><br />UPDATE:&nbsp; <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/12/22/education/22pittsburgh.html?_r=1&amp;partner=rss&amp;emc=rss">The extortion worked</a>.<br /> ]]></description>
<link>http://www.williampolley.com/blog/archives/2009/12/sign-of-things.html</link>
<guid>http://www.williampolley.com/blog/archives/2009/12/sign-of-things.html</guid>
<category>Economics--Micro and Markets</category>
<pubDate>Wed, 16 Dec 2009 10:02:24 -0600</pubDate>
</item>

<item>
<title>Paul Samuelson, 1915-2009</title>
<description><![CDATA[One of the 20th century's most influential economists has passed away.<br /><br />An excerpt from the <a href="http://web.mit.edu/newsoffice/2009/obit-samuelson.html">obituary from the MIT News Office</a>:<br /><br />Samuelson's contributions to the field were so numerous and fundamental
that they lend themselves to description in more general terms. "If you
did a time and motion study of what any modern economist does at work,
you would find that an enormous proportion of standard mental devices
trace back to Paul Samuelson's long lifetime of research," said MIT
Institute Professor Emeritus Robert Solow. "What I can add about my
beloved friend of 60 years is that he had a marvelous intuition about
how a market economy had to be. 'It must work like this,' he would say.
'Now all we have to do is prove it.' There was no one like him."<br /><br />More from:<br /><br /><a href="http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2009/12/13/remembering-paul-samuelson/">Wall Street Journal Real Time Economics</a><br /><br /><a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/12/14/business/economy/14samuelson.html">New York Times</a><br /><br />Here is a <a href="http://correspondents.theatlantic.com/conor_clarke/2009/06/an_interview_with_paul_samuelson_part_one.php">recent interview of Samuelson by Conor Clarke of The Atlantic</a>&nbsp; (<a href="http://correspondents.theatlantic.com/conor_clarke/2009/06/an_interview_with_paul_samuelson_part_two.php">part 2</a>)&nbsp; (hat tip <a href="http://angrybear.blogspot.com/2009/12/king-is-gone-but-hes-not-forgotten.html">Angry Bear</a>)<br /><br />Marginal Revolution <a href="http://www.marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2009/12/quotations-by-and-about-paul-samuelson.html">has</a> <a href="http://www.marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2009/12/paul-samuelsons-proof-that-properly-anticipated-prices-fluctuate-randomly.html">three</a> <a href="http://www.marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2009/12/paul-samuelson-passes-away-at-94.html">posts</a> (so far).&nbsp; One of which recounts Samuelson's famous quote:&nbsp; "<span class="status-body"><span class="msgtxt en" id="msgtxt6639633449">I don't care who writes a nation's laws... if I can write its economics textbooks."<br /><br />It's true that Samuelson's introductory textbook set the standard.&nbsp; Keynesian in his philosophy, his mathematical approach became the basis for neoclassical economics. &nbsp;</span><br /><br />And yes, I have a copy of...<br /><br /><span class="mt-enclosure mt-enclosure-image" style="display: inline;"><img alt="samuelson.jpg" src="http://www.williampolley.com/blog/images/2009/samuelson.jpg" class="mt-image-none" style="" width="336" height="448" /></span><br /><br />I actually found it easier to understand than some more modern graduate texts.<br /></span> ]]></description>
<link>http://www.williampolley.com/blog/archives/2009/12/paul-samuelson.html</link>
<guid>http://www.williampolley.com/blog/archives/2009/12/paul-samuelson.html</guid>
<category>Obituaries</category>
<pubDate>Mon, 14 Dec 2009 00:47:16 -0600</pubDate>
</item>

<item>
<title>October 6, 1979</title>
<description><![CDATA[Today is the 30th anniversary of the secret Saturday night meeting of the FOMC that shifted the Fed's focus to bank reserves rather than an explicit target for the fed funds rate.<br /><br />Students of monetary policy and the Fed may enjoy reading about this famous episode in which the Fed took a hard line stance against inflation--and won.<br /><br /><a href="http://www.frbsf.org/publications/economics/letter/2004/el2004-35.html">Short version</a><br /><br /><a href="http://research.stlouisfed.org/conferences/smallconf/lindsey.pdf">Long version</a><br /> ]]></description>
<link>http://www.williampolley.com/blog/archives/2009/10/october-6-1979.html</link>
<guid>http://www.williampolley.com/blog/archives/2009/10/october-6-1979.html</guid>
<category>Federal Reserve</category>
<pubDate>Tue, 06 Oct 2009 00:05:30 -0600</pubDate>
</item>

<item>
<title>Reserve Bank of Australia raises interest rate</title>
<description><![CDATA[From <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUSTRE5950I120091006?feedType=RSS&amp;feedName=topNews">Reuters</a>:<br /><br /><blockquote>SYDNEY (Reuters) - Australia's central bank raised its key cash rate by
25 basis points to 3.25 percent on Tuesday, as surprising economic
strength allowed it to withdraw some of the exceptional stimulus doled
out during the global credit crisis.<br /></blockquote><br />How long before others follow suit?<br /> ]]></description>
<link>http://www.williampolley.com/blog/archives/2009/10/reserve-bank-of-1.html</link>
<guid>http://www.williampolley.com/blog/archives/2009/10/reserve-bank-of-1.html</guid>
<category>Economics-Recession</category>
<pubDate>Mon, 05 Oct 2009 23:21:31 -0600</pubDate>
</item>

<item>
<title>Talkin&apos; baseball</title>
<description><![CDATA[This weekend, I am doing something that seldom happens.<br /><br />I'm cheering for the White Sox.<br /><br /><a href="http://minnesota.twins.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20091002&amp;content_id=7289486&amp;vkey=recap&amp;fext=.jsp&amp;c_id=min">You know why.</a><br /><br />UPDATE:&nbsp; Well, the Twins did their part, and the White Sox disappointed on the last day.&nbsp; But it was enough.&nbsp; One game on Tuesday to decide it.<br /> ]]></description>
<link>http://www.williampolley.com/blog/archives/2009/10/talkin-baseball.html</link>
<guid>http://www.williampolley.com/blog/archives/2009/10/talkin-baseball.html</guid>
<category>Sports</category>
<pubDate>Sat, 03 Oct 2009 01:56:01 -0600</pubDate>
</item>

<item>
<title>Kocherlakota to lead Minneapolis Fed</title>
<description><![CDATA[<a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&amp;sid=aZ30mkfC7V7k">Professor Narayana Kocherlakota of the University of Minnesota has been selected as the next president of the Minneapolis Fed.</a><br /><br />But what you probably didn't know is that Narayana was my professor at the University of Iowa back in my grad school days.&nbsp; He taught the second semester, first year macro course.&nbsp; It was a great course--very challenging.&nbsp; He also kept the department seminars pretty lively, as he has a very critical eye.&nbsp; If you've overlooked something in your model, chances are pretty good he'll spot it.&nbsp; As soon as I got to know him I admired his dedication and work ethic, not to mention his vast knowledge of economics.&nbsp; In 1995, the Ph.D. students at Iowa voted to give him the Professional Excellence in Training Economists Award.&nbsp; (This was at the end of my first year.)&nbsp; The award is given to those faculty who really earn the respect and admiration of the students.&nbsp; It's not taken lightly.&nbsp; I couldn't have agreed more with the award, and I am extremely happy to see him take on this next challenge.<br /><br />Congratulations, Narayana!<br />]]></description>
<link>http://www.williampolley.com/blog/archives/2009/10/kocherlakota-to.html</link>
<guid>http://www.williampolley.com/blog/archives/2009/10/kocherlakota-to.html</guid>
<category>Federal Reserve</category>
<pubDate>Thu, 01 Oct 2009 09:27:46 -0600</pubDate>
</item>

<item>
<title>FOMC meeting</title>
<description><![CDATA[<a href="http://federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/monetary/20090923a.htm">Here's the link:</a><br /><br /><blockquote><p>Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in
August suggests that economic activity has picked up following its
severe downturn.&nbsp; Conditions in financial markets have improved
further, and activity in the housing sector has increased.&nbsp; Household
spending seems to be stabilizing, but remains constrained by ongoing
job losses, sluggish income growth, lower housing wealth, and tight
credit.&nbsp; Businesses are still cutting back on fixed investment and
staffing, though at a slower pace; they continue to make progress in
bringing inventory stocks into better alignment with sales.&nbsp; Although
economic activity is likely to remain weak for a time, the Committee
anticipates that policy actions to stabilize financial markets and
institutions, fiscal and monetary stimulus, and market forces will
support a strengthening of economic growth and a gradual return to
higher levels of resource utilization in a context of price stability.
</p><p>With substantial resource slack likely to continue to dampen
cost pressures and with longer-term inflation expectations stable, the
Committee expects that inflation will remain subdued for some time.</p><p>In these circumstances, the Federal Reserve will continue to employ
a wide range of tools to promote economic recovery and to preserve
price stability.&nbsp; The Committee will maintain the target range for the
federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and continues to anticipate that
economic conditions are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of
the federal funds rate for an extended period.&nbsp; To provide support to
mortgage lending and housing markets and to improve overall conditions
in private credit markets, the Federal Reserve will purchase a total of
$1.25&nbsp;trillion of agency mortgage-backed securities and up to $200
billion of agency debt.&nbsp; The Committee will gradually slow the pace of
these purchases in order to promote a smooth transition in markets and
anticipates that they will be executed by the end of the first quarter
of 2010.&nbsp; As previously announced, the Federal Reserve's purchases of
$300&nbsp;billion of Treasury securities will be completed by the end of
October 2009.&nbsp; The Committee will continue to evaluate the timing and
overall amounts of its purchases of securities in light of the evolving
economic outlook and conditions in financial markets.&nbsp; The Federal
Reserve is monitoring the size and composition of its balance sheet and
will make adjustments to its credit and liquidity programs as warranted.</p><p>Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke,
Chairman; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Elizabeth A. Duke; Charles
L. Evans; Donald L. Kohn; Jeffrey M. Lacker; Dennis P. Lockhart; Daniel
K. Tarullo; Kevin M. Warsh; and Janet L. Yellen.</p></blockquote>

Worthy of note:&nbsp; The Fed intends to slow the purchases of MBS and agency debt with the goal of wrapping it up by the end of 2010Q1.&nbsp; This is the first that they have given a date for that.&nbsp; They reaffirmed the commitment to wrap up the purchase of $300 billion in Treasury securities by the end of next month.&nbsp; In addition, the tone of the outlook is, though not exactly rosy, decidedly more optimistic than it was in the previous release.<br /> ]]></description>
<link>http://www.williampolley.com/blog/archives/2009/09/fomc-meeting.html</link>
<guid>http://www.williampolley.com/blog/archives/2009/09/fomc-meeting.html</guid>
<category>Federal Reserve</category>
<pubDate>Wed, 23 Sep 2009 14:22:55 -0600</pubDate>
</item>

<item>
<title>John Taylor is blogging</title>
<description><![CDATA[<a href="http://johnbtaylorsblog.blogspot.com/">http://johnbtaylorsblog.blogspot.com/</a> ]]></description>
<link>http://www.williampolley.com/blog/archives/2009/09/john-taylor-is.html</link>
<guid>http://www.williampolley.com/blog/archives/2009/09/john-taylor-is.html</guid>
<category>Good Blogging</category>
<pubDate>Wed, 23 Sep 2009 11:32:08 -0600</pubDate>
</item>

<item>
<title>Sign, sign, everywhere a sign</title>
<description><![CDATA[From <a href="http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2009/09/16/senate-sticks-with-stimulus-signs/">Washington Wire</a><br /><br /><blockquote><p>The latest stimulus showdown in the Senate: should money from the
$787 billion package pay for signs that say a project is being funded
with stimulus money?</p><p>No way, said New Hampshire Republican Sen. Judd Gregg<strong></strong>,
who today tried to ban funding for the signs, which are prominently
displayed at the highway projects around the country. "Considering the
questionable effectiveness of the stimulus bill, it is completely
unreasonable that signs are being constructed at a price tag of
hundreds to thousands of dollars apiece for lawmakers to pat themselves
on the back about this legislation," he said in a statement. And
offered an amendment to the transportation spending bill that would ban
funding for the signs. </p><p>Democrats said the signs were absolutely fine. California Sen.Barbara Boxer<strong></strong>
said on the Senate floor that it didn't matter whether lawmakers voted
for or against the stimulus plan, they should still fund efforts to
tell people what it was doing.</p>...<br /><br /><p>At stake: jobs for sign makers, jobs for others if the money were to
be used differently, and control over how the stimulus package is
perceived. Since the plan was enacted, Democrats and Republicans have
fought over how fast the money is being spent, and whether it has
delivered results.</p><p>The signs present risks to both parties, though. If voters decide
the spending was a waste, the signs will remind them of the Democratic
program. If the stimulus is ultimately seen as helping the economy, the
signs remind voters that Republicans largely opposed it.</p></blockquote>


<p>Let's not delude ourselves.&nbsp; It's all about how the stimulus package is perceived.&nbsp; I seriously doubt the senators cared a whit about jobs for sign makers when debating this proposal.&nbsp; But the proposal failed.&nbsp; The signs will stay.&nbsp; Which, if you take the writer's interpretation, suggests that the Democrats are more confident that people will see it their way.</p><p></p>]]></description>
<link>http://www.williampolley.com/blog/archives/2009/09/sign-sign-every.html</link>
<guid>http://www.williampolley.com/blog/archives/2009/09/sign-sign-every.html</guid>
<category>Economics-Fiscal Policy</category>
<pubDate>Wed, 16 Sep 2009 17:25:32 -0600</pubDate>
</item>

<item>
<title>We like Wal-Mart more than we like casinos</title>
<description><![CDATA[Via <a href="http://www.marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2009/09/what-do-economists-believe.html">Marginal Revolution</a> comes this link to the <a href="http://www.aier.org/aier/publications/ejw_derc_sep09_whaples.pdf">latest survey of the economics profession</a>.&nbsp; As always, the profession comes out pretty strongly against tariffs.&nbsp; Other items are interesting.&nbsp; There seemed to be a lot more questions about health care and fiscal policy this time--for obvious reasons.&nbsp; We'd like to see barriers to the medical professions reduced, and we don't want taxes on unhealthy foods.<br /><br />As I indicate in the title of this post, over 70% of economists surveyed either "agree" or "strongly agree" that Wal-Mart "generates more benefits to society than costs".&nbsp; Only about 17% would make the same statement about casinos.<br /> ]]></description>
<link>http://www.williampolley.com/blog/archives/2009/09/we-like-wal-mar.html</link>
<guid>http://www.williampolley.com/blog/archives/2009/09/we-like-wal-mar.html</guid>
<category>College Teaching</category>
<pubDate>Wed, 16 Sep 2009 13:20:49 -0600</pubDate>
</item>

<item>
<title>Never forget</title>
<description><![CDATA[<img src="http://www.williampolley.com/blog/images/2007/starsnstripesw_ribbon.jpg" />
<br />Clip art by <a href="http://www.tcdesign.net/solidarity_graphics.htm">T.C. Design</a><br />]]></description>
<link>http://www.williampolley.com/blog/archives/2009/09/never-forget.html</link>
<guid>http://www.williampolley.com/blog/archives/2009/09/never-forget.html</guid>
<category>History</category>
<pubDate>Fri, 11 Sep 2009 11:44:29 -0600</pubDate>
</item>

<item>
<title>Reuters:  Obama to reappoint Bernanke as Fed Chair</title>
<description><![CDATA[Via Reuters:<br /><br /><blockquote><p>OAK BLUFFS, Massachusetts (Reuters) - U.S. President Barack Obama will nominate Ben Bernanke to a second term as chairman of the Federal Reserve on Tuesday as the economy shows signs of recovery, a senior administration official said on Monday.</p><p>Bernanke, whose appointment as head of the U.S. central bank must be
confirmed by the Senate, has led the Fed and the U.S. economy through
its most tumultuous period since the Great Depression of the 1930s.
Obama's Democrats control the Senate.</p></blockquote>
    

<p><a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUSTRE57O08N20090825?feedType=RSS&amp;feedName=topNews">Read the whole article.</a></p><p>Give the president credit for understanding the importance of removing any uncertainty about the outcome of his decision.&nbsp; I believe it was the right decision.<br /></p><p><br /></p> ]]></description>
<link>http://www.williampolley.com/blog/archives/2009/08/reuters-obama-t.html</link>
<guid>http://www.williampolley.com/blog/archives/2009/08/reuters-obama-t.html</guid>
<category>Federal Reserve</category>
<pubDate>Mon, 24 Aug 2009 23:01:44 -0600</pubDate>
</item>

<item>
<title>Welcome back, students</title>
<description><![CDATA[The temporary traffic signs pointing to the residence halls are up.&nbsp; Suddenly I can't find a place to park like I could on Friday.&nbsp; The cafe on the first floor is open again.&nbsp; The only thing out of the ordinary is that it wasn't 90 degrees this weekend when the students moved in.<br /><br />I know that some of my students check the blog once in a while, especially grad students, so to all of you I wish you a very sincere welcome.<br /><br />After a semester off from teaching principles, I feel refreshed and ready get back into the groove.&nbsp; Ask me tomorrow how that's going!<br /> ]]></description>
<link>http://www.williampolley.com/blog/archives/2009/08/welcome-back-st.html</link>
<guid>http://www.williampolley.com/blog/archives/2009/08/welcome-back-st.html</guid>
<category>College Teaching</category>
<pubDate>Mon, 24 Aug 2009 10:40:24 -0600</pubDate>
</item>


</channel>
</rss>